That's the best win percentage (minimum 10 starts) and most team points per game for a Titans/Oilers QB since the 1970 merger. Trotter's pick: Steelers 28, Browns 24 -- Todd Archer. FPI prediction: IND, 67.6% (by an average of 6.3 points), Matchup must-reads: Inability to keep Burrow upright is problem Bengals must fix quickly ... Colts sticking with Rivers at QB despite turnover trouble ... Bengals lose Reader for season with quad injury ... Rivers' turnovers responsible for nine points in Colts' loss, 1 p.m. -- Mike Reiss, Bold prediction: The Broncos will force two turnovers. What to know for fantasy: The Rams' Cooper Kupp is seeking to become the first player in NFL history with four consecutive games of at least nine catches and a receiving score. -- John Keim. Jump to a matchup: Source: Hamstring injury could sideline Chiefs WR Watkins a couple of games ... Biggest surprises for every AFC team thus far in the 2020 season, Monday, 8:15 p.m. Read more. TEN-DEN | DAL-NYJ | PIT-LAC Read more. • Pack want to help Rodgers get ring No. They rank 30th in the NFL in passing defense, allowing 280.8 yards per game. Could the Bears really move to 5-1? FPI prediction: WSH, 52.7% (by an average of 1 point), Matchup must-reads: Resetting Washington's QB situation: What's next for Allen, Smith and Haskins ... Giants' Jones continues to be haunted by last-minute failures ... Smith favored to win comeback player award ... Giants lose LB Carter for season with ruptured Achilles, 4:05 p.m. ... Panthers' Short to have season-ending shoulder surgery ... How COVID-19 put everything on the line for Panthers' Reed, 1 p.m. 12 to No. • Meet the loaded, elite QB class » The Chargers have one of the better pass defenses in the league, but third-string QB Hodges isn't afraid to throw the ball. FPI prediction: KC, 66.8% (by an average of 6.0 points), Matchup must-reads: What separates Watson and Mahomes? 1 receiver: Vikings' Thielen relishing new roles, 1 p.m. Read more. Sure, it was against the Bengals, but a win is still a win. They have been considered open -- three or more yards of separation at arrival of the throw -- on 55% of their targets, also the highest mark in the NFL. Read more. What to know for fantasy: Conner has yet to deliver more than 55 rushing yards in a game this season, but he is facing a Chargers team that gave up 174 yards on 25 carries to Indianapolis' Marlon Mack and 114 on Phillip Lindsay's 15 totes for Denver earlier this season. For Darnold's sake, Jets must rebuild O-line the Dallas way, Mistakes overshadow career days for Cooper, Prescott, Darnold's return intensifies spotlight on Gase, New QB Hodges brings athleticism, 'fearless' approach, Goal-line turnovers an issue for Chargers, Rivers, How Packers' Matt LaFleur is doing what other first-year coaches haven't: win, Against Packers, Lions can lean on Patricia's success against top offenses, Packers' good vibrations: Rodgers likes 'the vibe on this team', Rewriting the Rodgers narrative, according to his backup center, Panthers (3-2) vs. NFL Expert Picks - Conference Championship Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Wild Card Divisional Round Conference Championship hidden Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the keys to every game, a bold prediction for each matchup and final score predictions. ... Titans deal unhappy LB Correa to Jaguars ... Jaguars to use fifth kicker of season in Brown ... Jaguars among NFL teams using silver to fight COVID-19, 1 p.m. 2 ET | Fox By James Dator Oct 14, 2020, 7:00am EDT Humphrey making big name for himself ... Bengals leaning on strong connections while trying to snap winless start ... From picks to deep passes: Jackson's learning curve still steep, 1 p.m. However, since 2010, they are just 3-10 ATS in those games. NFL Week 6 Picks for Every Game By Athlon Sports , 10/14/18, 2:00 PM EDT Athlon's experts predict winners for every game, including the Sunday night showdown between the Chiefs and Patriots -- Lindsey Thiry. They're 28th in third-down percentage, and the Miami defense is seventh. Stat to know: The Packers' 93.3 offensive efficiency is the second highest through four team games since 2008 (95 by the Rams in 2018). Additionally, ESPN Stats & Information provides a stat to know for each game, and the Football Power Index (FPI) goes inside the numbers with a matchup rating (on a scale of 1 to 100) and a game projection. CAR-TB | HOU-KC | PHI-MIN Read more. Stat to know: Panthers wide receiver Robby Anderson now has three 100-yard receiving games through five games this season. NFL B/R Expert Consensus NFL Picks for Week 6 NFL Staff Contributor I October 10, 2019 Comments. But the Lions could be just what Rodgers needs. -- Brady Henderson, NFL PrimeTime continues this postseason with extended highlights and analysis following the conclusion of each day's playoff games. That team finished 1-15. FPI prediction: WSH, 63.2% (by an average of 4.7 points), Matchup must-reads: Redskins, Dolphins battle it out in Week 6 Winless Bowl ... Dolphins' ideal 2020 draft: Tua Tagovailoa leads bounty of first-rounders ... Redskins not changing stance on Haskins after Gruden's firing, 4:05 p.m. This marks the sixth game in the Super Bowl era between teams with a combined record of 0-9 or worse, and the first since 2004. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the keys to every game, a bold prediction for each matchup and final score predictions. FPI prediction: BAL, 81.0% (by an average of 12.0 points), Matchup must-reads: How to fix Bengals' struggling offense? This is the percentage of the general public betting on each side of a matchup or total. The rookie is tied for the NFL lead with seven total fumbles and four lost fumbles -- three of which happened last weekend -- and the majority have come when he's been sacked or scrambling to avoid a sack. Can Saints add Fournette to their under-100 club? -- Vaughn McClure. Over that stretch, Ryan is QB24 in total points, just 0.5 points ahead of a struggling Sam Darnold, who missed Week 5. Matchup rating: 28.7 | Spread: MIA -10 (47), What to watch for: The Dolphins are favored for the first time in 21 games (December 2018) and favored by more than a touchdown for the first time since November 2016. Re-drafting the top 10 picks of the 2017 NFL draft: Where will Mahomes, Watson land? Raanan's pick: Giants 23, Washington 22 ET | ESPN/ESPN App They also have surrendered one 100-yard receiving game this season, also to an opposing tight end. B/R Expert Consensus NFL Picks for Week 6. ESPN Fantasy's Kyle Soppe and ESPN Chalk's Dave Bearman hand out helpful nuggets as well. What to know for fantasy: In Weeks 2-4, Giants wide receiver Darius Slayton totaled 134 yards on nine catches. NFL experts predict: Week 6 upset picks, fantasy sleepers, disappointing players, more 1 Related Johnson: If the Dolphins scoring 43 in Santa Clara wasn't evidence enough of the 49ers' struggling and depleted defense, I don't know what is. • 2020 NFL draft order: Top 20 picks » Read more. Something has to give! Donald is capable of wrecking games by himself, and the Niners' interior line has been of particular concern. Matt Bowen has predicted the correct winner of NFL games 68% of the time. Look for the Smiths (Preston Smith and Za'Darius Smith) to have success against the statuesque Brady, and Kenny Clark's return will help a run defense that so far has allowed nearly 5 yards per carry. Aaron Rodgers & Co. have carried the team to a 4-0 start, but after a bye week to figure out what has gone wrong, Mike Pettine's defense will find a way to come up big. On the flip side, Burrow has been sacked more than any other QB in the NFL. Clowney didn't get to face the Texans after they traded him to the Seahawks just before the 2019 season. Read more. -- Mike DiRocco, Bold prediction: Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford will look like the quarterback he was last season, throwing for 330 yards and three touchdowns, in a game that will still come down to the final possession due to Detroit's poor defense against Gardner Minshew -- who will also throw for 300 yards and two scores. He's a dynamic player and he's definitely the centerpiece of that offense." -- Ben Baby. ET | CBS Start in the red zone ... No longer 'Marvin'? He is also 13-5-2 ATS when facing teams that enter with losing records. Hensley's pick: Ravens 31, Eagles 23 FPI prediction: CAR, 54.3% (by an average of 1.5 points), Matchup must-reads: Bears stun Brady ... McCaffrey doesn't have to rush back for Panthers ... Can Foles shed relief pitcher rep? But he has 333 yards over the past two games. What to know for fantasy: DJ Chark was drafted in just 11.8% of fantasy leagues. NYJ-MIA | GB-TB | LAR-SF Start in the red zone, No longer 'Marvin'? The Week 17 NFL schedule is stacked with great matchups. NO-JAX | SEA-CLE | CIN-BAL 2 Create or join a league today >>, Bold prediction: The Colts will have a plus-five sack differential. -- Sarah Barshop. The Chiefs abandoned their running game far too early against Las Vegas and won't make that mistake two weeks in a row, particularly with Sammy Watkins out of the lineup. Prior to that, Detroit had been 4-18 straight up and 6-16 ATS in its previous 22 meetings against Green Bay. Recap. -- Courtney Cronin, Bold prediction: Vikings receivers Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs will be happier with the direction of the offense under QB Kirk Cousins after this one. And per the Elias Sport Bureau, Green Bay now has four consecutive games scoring at least 30 points with zero turnovers, tied for the second-longest streak in NFL history (2010 Patriots, seven straight). The Big Lead picks in Week 5 had some good and some bad results. Even without Prescott, Cowboys say plan stays the same on offense ... Hopkins credits Murray, Cardinals' playcalling for hot start ... Could Dak still get $100 million? Read more. He is the first quarterback with a streak like that since Aaron Rodgers in 2016. ET | CBS Thiry's pick: Rams 28, 49ers 24 Well ... because they're really, really due. Matchup rating: 28.0 | Spread: ATL -2.5 (51), What to watch for: The Cardinals figured out how running the ball can lead to victory. Betting nugget: Carolina is 4-0 outright and against the spread (ATS) in Kyle Allen starts, including 3-0 this season. But the big question is how they'll replace 347-pound defensive tackle Vita Vea, who was a key reason the Buccaneers have had the league's top-ranked rushing defense over the past two years and why their pass rush has improved to be among the best. See Week 6 rankings. The Bears have too much invested in Kmet for him to be a bystander, so look for Foles to target the rookie early and somewhat often on Sunday. Stat to know: Minshew needs 235 passing yards to have the most ever by a Jaguars QB through six games. NFL experts debate their title window, future at QB, 2021 NFL draft order: Top 28 picks set, with Jags, Jets, Dolphins at the top, What separates Watson and Mahomes? See Week 6 rankings. That has to change. Watson has already been sacked 17 times, third most in the NFL. • Bucs carry hopes of '02 team into Sunday Betting nugget: Watson is 8-1 ATS in his career as a road underdog, with four outright wins. Archer's pick: Cowboys 26, Jets 13 18 in the NFL, and have given up more than 190 rushing yards in a game twice. Stat to know: The Cowboys' defense allows a third-down conversion just 26% of the time, second-best in the league -- and the Jets' offense converts only 21% of its third downs, the worst in NFL this season. One huge stat ... Mahomes says ankle injury won't limit his mobility vs. Texans ... Re-drafting the top 10 picks of the 2017 NFL draft: Where will Mahomes, Watson land? Enter Baltimore's Mark Andrews, who is tied for third in the NFL with five receiving scores. The Texans acquired Carlos Hyde via trade with the Chiefs prior to the regular season, and his 310 rushing yards this season ranks 15th among running backs. Betting nugget: Kansas City is 7-1-1 ATS in Monday games under Andy Reid and 4-0-1 ATS on Monday night with Mahomes at quarterback. But Andy Dalton is second-worst in that category (0.9 QBR). FPI prediction: TEN, 50.8% (by an average of 0.3 points), Matchup must-reads: Cut 21 combined times, Broncos' Bausby, Rodgers still 'believe' ... How have the Titans' free-agent additions fared? What to know for fantasy: Tyler Boyd ranks fourth in the NFL with 53 targets and is playing for a Bengals team that is dropping back to pass at the third-highest rate (71%). Matt Bowen from ESPN has picked 175 of 256 NFL games correctly. Quarterback Nick Foles attempted 42 passes in Week 5, but Kmet finished the game with zero targets and played just 21 of 63 offensive snaps. ET | ESPN -- Turron Davenport. They come out as 1.3% more efficient than an average NFL team this season. But the Falcons will also be trying to avoid their worst six-game start since 2007 (1-5), the season before they drafted Ryan. He's so quick and explosive, and he can get the ball out of his hand very quickly," Dallas coach Mike McCarthy said. Brett Favre gives high praise to Aaron Rodgers so far this season, saying that Rodgers is playing his best football ever. See Week 6 rankings. Betting nugget: Tennessee is 3-11 ATS in games that follow fewer than six days' rest since the start of the 2013 season. Stat to know: Colts quarterback Philip Rivers has thrown four passing touchdowns this season, the fewest through his team's first five games of a season in his career. Betting nugget: Arizona is the only team in the NFL to see all five of its games go under the total. 1 receiver: Vikings' Thielen relishing new roles, McCaffrey doesn't have to rush back for Panthers, Panthers' Short to have season-ending shoulder surgery, How COVID-19 put everything on the line for Panthers' Reed, "A student of everything": What a 26-year-old Bill Belichick learned as a Broncos assistant, Broncos coach Fangio forced to take more risks on defense, Inability to keep Burrow upright is problem Bengals must fix quickly, Colts sticking with Rivers at QB despite turnover trouble, Bengals lose Reader for season with quad injury, Rivers' turnovers responsible for nine points in Colts' loss, Jaguars to use fifth kicker of season in Brown, Jaguars among NFL teams using silver to fight COVID-19, Resetting Washington's QB situation: What's next for Allen, Smith and Haskins, Giants' Jones continues to be haunted by last-minute failures, Smith favored to win comeback player award, Giants lose LB Carter for season with ruptured Achilles, How Bell ouster affects Jets' locker room and future cap, Dolphins' Howard, Jones show potential to be top CB duo, Jets to again start Flacco at QB; Gase to still call plays, Source: Dolphins' Godchaux has biceps tear, Bell's ugly ending with Jets raises serious questions, One night in Atlanta 10 years ago, Rodgers became a star, Brady pokes fun at himself while congratulating LeBron, Brady's fourth-down gaffe joins list of other interesting errors with time and turnovers, Rams' Sean McVay remains a football junkie even as he attempts to step back, How Kyle Shanahan has kept the 49ers from falling apart, Rams have a sack party in Washington as they prepare for NFC West, 49ers CB Sherman suffers setback in recovery from calf injury, 49ers QB Garoppolo practices, on track to start, At last, Rodgers vs. Brady in the playoffs, Missing starters evident in Bills' humbling loss on national stage, Source: Hamstring injury could sideline Chiefs WR Watkins a couple of games, Biggest surprises for every AFC team thus far in the 2020 season, Cardinals LB Jones to have season-ending surgery, Even without Prescott, Cowboys say plan stays the same on offense, Hopkins credits Murray, Cardinals' playcalling for hot start, Could Dak still get $100 million? So will the Steelers lean on James Conner and the running game to help protect rookie quarterback Devlin Hodges? Cimini's pick: Cowboys 24, Jets 13 Pryor's pick: Chargers 24, Steelers 21 ET | NFL Network Stat to know: Jackson has a 68.4 QBR when pressured this season, the second-best in the league (minimum 20 action plays). Pick NFL winners straight up or against the spread and compete to win more than $14,000 in prizes! Mistakes overshadow career days for Cooper, Prescott ... Darnold's return intensifies spotlight on Gase, 8:20 p.m. Philadelphia scheming to stop Dalvin Cook and the run while Minnesota's pass rush aims to force Carson Wentz into a tough spot is a matchup of two stalwarts. FPI prediction: BAL, 73.5% (by an average of 8.6 points), Matchup must-reads: D is the new MVP: Ravens' D upstaging Jackson ... From QB play to his contract, a look at what's ailing Eagles' Ertz ... Eagles cleared to host limited fans at home games ... "Biggest" Eagles fan sends well-wishes after Prescott's injury, 1 p.m. Baby's pick: Ravens 35, Bengals 14 Matchup rating: 44.6 | Spread: LAC -7 (41.5), What to watch for: The Chargers are allowing 120 rushing yards per game this season, No. The Rams are tied for the NFL lead with 20 sacks, and the Niners have allowed 18, fourth most in the league. Pryor's pick: Steelers 30, Browns 27 See Week 6 rankings. It ranks fifth in sacks with 15, but eight occurred in the opener. This is a bad matchup for the Bengals, who have allowed 250 rushing yards or more in two of the first five games this season. Log of Matt Bowen's 2020 NFL Picks -- Cameron Wolfe, Bold prediction: The Jets won't convert more than five third downs. Watch on ESPN+. But the Eagles have allowed 10 touchdown passes this season, and only five teams have given up more. And can the Panthers muster a pass rush with defensive end Brian Burns (concussion) doubtful and tackle Kawann Short now out for the season with a shoulder injury? You can bet with or against the public. Matchup rating: 37.3 | Spread: IND -8 (46.5), What to watch for: Keep an eye on the Colts' pass rush against Bengals QB Joe Burrow. The Dolphins will keep the Redskins under their per-game average, but Adrian Peterson will rush for a season-best 80 yards. In our picks and predictions for Week 6 of the 2020 NFL season, and the Browns-Steelers AFC North rivalry is a tough pick. His low through six games is seven (2007 and 2011). Stat to know: The Giants are last in the NFL in rushing, with just 79.0 yards per game. The 12 teams combined to average 25.3 points a game in the opening round, the most since 2013. Stat to know: Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes began his 2018 MVP season by completing 64% of his passes for 1,513 yards, 14 touchdowns, two interceptions and an 86.1 Total QBR through five games. -- Michael Rothstein. Matchup rating: 56.9 | Spread: JAX -1 (44), What to watch for: Expect Saints pass-rushers Marcus Davenport and Cameron Jordan to be in the face of Jaguars quarterback Gardner Minshew. Breaking down the NFL Week 6 schedule, Hammer says the Rams (-3.5) will roll over the 49ers on Sunday Night Football. Wells' pick: Colts 27, Bengals 17 He had three such games all of last season with the Jets. • Bucs carry hopes of '02 team into Sunday ET | Fox It â¦ The Dolphins and Redskins are the only two teams in the NFL that rank in the bottom five in both offensive and defensive efficiency. Stat to know: According to NFL Next Gen Stats data, Seahawks receivers are producing 3.8 yards of average separation when targeted this season, best in the NFL. See Week 6 rankings. They will combine for 160 yards and a pair of touchdowns against a patchwork Eagles secondary. One out of â¦ They average just 67 rushing yards per contest, 28th in the NFL. And if they don't, this game could get ugly. What to know for fantasy: Bengals running back Joe Mixon is on pace for 384 touches this season, a number that only Ezekiel Elliott, Le'Veon Bell, Christian McCaffrey and Derrick Henry have hit since 2015. FPI prediction: SEA, 53.9% (by an average of 1.4 points), Matchup must-reads: Wilson's torrid start has him playing at an MVP level ... Browns 'have a lot of concerns,' starting with Mayfield, 1 p.m. ET | Fox/NFL Stat to know: The Lions blitz 9.1% of the time, the lowest percentage by a team this season and the lowest since 2006 when that data became available. -- Nick Wagoner, Bold prediction: Donald will turn in his third multi-sack performance of the season. This is the 1st best out of all 34 experts. See Week 6 rankings. Who will try to rattle Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers now? Matchup rating: 85.0 | Spread: GB -1.5 (55), What to watch for: The Bucs are hopeful that Tom Brady can get back some of his weapons, such as wide receiver Chris Godwin and running back Leonard Fournette, along with a healthier Scotty Miller and Mike Evans. ET | CBS -- Jeff Legwold. In the past 10 seasons, the only quarterback to start his career 5-0 outright and ATS is Patrick Mahomes. See Week 6 rankings. Stat to know: The Cowboys have 11 turnovers this season, tied for most in the NFL. Week 6 NFL picks, odds, TV: Texans send Chiefs to second straight loss, Eagles upset Vikings in Minnesota Picks for every Week 6 game, including â¦ Stat to know: Twelve running backs in the NFL have had at least 20 rushes and are averaging over 5 yards per rush, and the 49ers have three of them in Matt Breida (6.5), Raheem Mostert (5.8) and Tevin Coleman (5.5). Bye: BUF, CHI, IND, OAK, 1 p.m. What to know for fantasy: Kyler Murray had just 17 total rushing yards in his first two career games, but he's racked up at least 27 in each of the three games since, and his 16-game pace over those three games is that of a 1,000-yard rusher. NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions for Week 6, 2020: Proven model backing Ravens, Colts SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 6 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results. Let's get into the full Week 6 schedule, including a showdown between two of the NFL's top quarterbacks. FPI prediction: TB, 53.0% (by an average of 1.1 points), Matchup must-reads: One night in Atlanta 10 years ago, Rodgers became a star ... Brady pokes fun at himself while congratulating LeBron ... Brady's fourth-down gaffe joins list of other interesting errors with time and turnovers, 8:20 p.m. See Week 6 rankings. 2 overall pick from April matched against the struggling No. In Week 5, he racked up 129 yards on eight catches against a divisional foe in the Cowboys. Watch for Arizona to repeat that run-first game plan against Atlanta, even if David Johnson is either slowed or doesn't play due to back issues. 2: Packers want second Super Bowl for Aaron Rodgers, Marv Levy, Cornelius Bennett, former Bills eager to see Buffalo 'finally' win title, Who stays and who goes? See Week 6 rankings. ET | Fox Stat to know: The Browns have four consecutive wins for the first time since 2009, but they have not won five straight since 1994, when Bill Belichick was the head coach. ET | Fox Rookie Fant trying to smooth out the 'rough spots'. • Mahomes chief practitioner of free play -- Rob Demovsky. Read more. What to know for fantasy: Miami quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has scored at least 21 fantasy points in four straight games, the longest streak of his career. Mixon had gone 22 consecutive games without reaching six targets, but now has done so in back-to-back games, including a career-high eight in Week 5. They haven't won back-to-back games by double digits since 2015, before the Brian Flores and Adam Gase eras in Miami, while the Jets have lost every game this season by at least nine points. Burrow has been sacked a league-high 22 times through five weeks. The scheme might not change, but what kind of stops does Atlanta pull out against a Vikings team scratching to keep its playoff hopes alive? Demovsky's pick: Packers 28, Lions 27 Betting nugget: Indianapolis is 6-3 ATS as a home favorite since the start of last season, tied for the second-best cover percentage over that span. 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